November 7 Predictions From The Oracle

Let Karl know that you think this is a critical election, because you know as a citizen that if the Bush team can behave with the level of deadly incompetence it has exhibited in Iraq — and then get away with it by holding on to the House and the Senate — it means our country has become a banana republic. It means our democracy is in tatters because it is so gerrymandered, so polluted by money, and so divided by professional political hacks that we can no longer hold the ruling party to account.

Thomas L. Friedman, New York Times, 3 November 2006

OK, so you think maybe I don't know quiet everything there is to know. Well, you might be right but don't bet on it. I may not be the sharpest knife in the drawer, but I just might be too! So, don't risk gettin' your finger sliced up by being careless. What's the point of this IQ self analysis? I'm not really sure, but I'm working on it; in the meantime don't worry about it. I'll let you know if something turns up. Now that the disclaimers have been satisfied, on to something significant, something you might want to memorize for future reference.

As I noted in a recent blog posting reflecting my thoughts on polls and the November elections, I'm not sanguine about the outcome of the coming election. Essentially, the gerrymandering process coupled with the wedge issues used by Republicans to divert attention from real issues has built a very high protective wall around Republican politicians, who would otherwise be very vulnerable; indeed, they would be defeated.

In this group I would include an asshole like J.D. Hayworth, the big baboon from Az's 5th Congressional District, who's in trouble but who will probably make it through the election because of the protective wall.

Tom Reynolds from New York, is another I would put in that same category. Reynolds is one of the members of the House Leadership who, along with Speaker Hastert, protected Reprsentative Foley, the sex predator from Florida, rather than act in the best interest of those young Congressional Pages.

To be perfectly honest, there are quiet a few in the protected category; that is, bastards who should and would be defeated if all things were equal, but alas they aren't.

Oh, one side light, in addition to the gerrymandering and wedge issues providing the protective wall, there is the fact that the George Bush Sr./Lee Atwater/Karl Rove/ George Bush Jr. negative, trash can, lying political campaign tactics badly confuse people who otherwise don't know what in the hell goes on in Washington.


Well, all the above cant aside, let's take a look at the bottom line: my 7 November election predictions. In spite of the difficulties I've noted here, the Democrats will take control of both houses. . .the Senate with 8 new additions and the House with 25 additions.

Were it not for the protective wall the numbers would be big!

So, don't go off thinking that Rasmussen, Cook, Rauthenberg, or any of the other of those national pollsters know it all, they don't, and unlike those charlatans, I don't charge.

Ever on the watch for ya,
Davy Crockett